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PROTRACK » GENERAL » Trinity Gift

Trinity Gift

Who wins Trinity

7% 7% [ 5 ]
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Total Votes : 73

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1 Trinity Gift on Mon Feb 08, 2016 8:27 pm

Mex

avatar
Moderator
Moderator
After a great showing at Ballarat we move to a fantastic surface at Trinity. Good numbers in the gift, who are the chances?

2 Re: Trinity Gift on Mon Feb 08, 2016 8:37 pm

GLPR


final if all run:

marr 
riali 
tancredi 
mcnamara
dunbar
rooke
paull
rosen


alternatives if some dont run: singh, coates, hilditch, henderson


winner: rooke to take the half metre. if doesnt run then rosen to win another gift.

3 Re: Trinity Gift on Mon Feb 08, 2016 8:43 pm

Scoop


Not one of your final will even run GLPR 
Rooke wont be winning
Rosen has been running longer stuff recently from what Ive seen
0% for you this week Wink

4 Re: Trinity Gift on Tue Feb 09, 2016 12:49 pm

DDog


If Angelokos runs he should win.

5 Re: Trinity Gift on Tue Feb 09, 2016 12:58 pm

Baltimore Jack


You sure about that DDog? If Noddy cops 2metre penalty for Ballarat gift win he won't be winning Trinity. Not off 9.5.

6 Re: Trinity Gift on Tue Feb 09, 2016 1:24 pm

airtight

avatar

Matt Hargreaves 4th last year off 5.0, up 1.0 to 6.0.
Rob Lehmann 5th last year off 10.25, up 1.25 to 11.5.

If they run final from these athletes
Riali 3.75
Hargreaves 6.0
McNamara 6.75
Dunbar 8.0
Paull 8.5?
Tiu 8.25
Voumard 10.0
Lehmann 11.5

my gess S Rooke will scratch. Also K Marr.
not sure about Paull, might run now he has a lift.

7 Re: Trinity Gift on Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:25 pm

DDog


I agree with you Baltimore Jack, but handicaps are out and Noddy still off 11.5.

8 Re: Trinity Gift on Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:08 pm

Scoop


Handicaps are released and then adjusted for wins every week ddog. You dont have a clue do you? Noddy's penalty will be adjusted for trinity.

9 Re: Trinity Gift on Wed Feb 10, 2016 1:10 pm

DDog


I don't have much of a clue Scoop, but I don't understand why they haven't rehandicapped when they are released after the event. They give lifts.

10 Re: Trinity Gift on Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:10 pm

jknott123


spot on ddog

11 Re: Trinity Gift on Wed Feb 10, 2016 6:23 pm

Mex

avatar
Moderator
Moderator
Let's not degenerate the conversations around this event. Noddy will be pulled for winning Ballarat. 1.5m for the total prize pool available plus another pull for his second gift win for the year. He will be off 9.25m, 9.5m or 9.75m depending on how generous Goldy feels. I would think winning both Rye and Ballarat would be quite an achievement and Noddy will accept whatever he is allocated.

As for why he is still on 11.5m, the marks are completed before the weekend. That is why there is a delay in lifts being allocated. I would suggest that those who have been lifted for this week were due the lifts from the compressed previous two weeks.

There is a healthy number of votes so far, lots for Rosen again. It is hard to know who to vote for as there is bound to be a few scratchings.

12 Re: Trinity Gift on Fri Feb 12, 2016 10:46 am

vicoutsider

avatar
I get a sense that there will be a few scratchings this week, taking those into account, here is how I see the final at Trinity.

James Vine 5.75
Coming back from Injury, I imagine he'll run and make final if he's not yet 100%. If he's back to 100% then he won't run.

Ryan Mcnamara 6.75
Has been running well, he's a classy kid and I think he'll run well and go close to winning.

Rhys Gillson 8
Can't remember seeing much of him this season, though if he's been training, he'll go well off 8m. Can't win, though will be a strong competitor.

Dion Paull 8.5
Fresh confidence from his 70m win at Ballarat, I think he will go top 3 here and be ready to set himself Keilor(?).

Rupert Lugo 9.5
Got a NAP I believe but will make a mends by getting into the final here. A good chance to podium, but won't get the win.

Noddy Angelakos 11.5 (assuming off 9.75m)
Despite the pull, I reckon Noddy will make final on confidence alone and though I can't see him winning this week, this gift final may be harder to make than to win...

MADDIE COATES 15
On a great mark and will be 1 of 2 girls in the final. Probably needs another 1.5m to be able to win, but will cause some headaches early!

Keely Henderson 20
Off a ripping mark and if she doesn't give herself a chance next Friday night then she will be right in it here and really give those who want it something to chance.

The Final:
James Vine 5.75
Ryan Mcnamara 6.75
Rhys Gillson 8
Dion Paull 8.5
Rupert Lugo 9.5
Noddy Angelakos 11.5 (assuming off 9.75m)
MADDIE COATES 15
Keely Henderson 20

Ryan Mcnamara 6.75 to win

good luck to all running.

13 Re: Trinity Gift on Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:07 am

airtight

avatar
Good work vicoutsider. Got a few in there from left field. The 0.50m guarantee for Stawell might flush a few out. Paull wins gets 9 for Stawell. Big incentive. McNamara would like 7.25 for Stawell too.

14 Re: Trinity Gift on Fri Feb 12, 2016 8:35 pm

Mex

avatar
Moderator
Moderator
A tough week to tip. The voting is spread which causes some problems. My usual cut off is 8% or higher which leaves me talking about Rosen (thanks everyone) and Rowsell. Dropping to 7% includes a few more, so here we go.

Khan Marr 3.25m (7%) - Khan Marr, ho hum, whatever. Are we sick of talking about him yet other than to highlight that he should run better? We all know he can run. Well at least a pretty good 100m but looks like a crusty vet in the last 20m. If he runs he finals. Will he run? Does he learn anything form his training partner? Running out of time for a lift, not sure if they will just let him run out season and reassess over winter.

Nathan Riali 3.75m (7%) - Has been managed well this year in that he has not shown up to the small ones. I would be very surprised if he turns up let alone runs. Not worth the fine.

Ryan McNamara 6.75m (7%) - Probably has enough to win most gifts on the calendar. Let's all help out Rowsell here, don't run him. He can pick up another quarter to half before the end of the season, come out early next year and win a metre (if the rule stays the same) and take 8+ to Stawell in 2017 and make the final and go very close. If they think he has enough already then go until he gets his next lift and take the half metre. Would love to see him beat Ware in a semi.

Tim Rosen 13m / Scott Rowsell 13m (15%) - Tim 'The Man', 'The Tool Man', 'The Lord of the Gifts', 'Death from in Front' Rosen is back on the track. He is back a little but still has a pretty good mark. Not sure he will win now, the 400m seems to be his focus before Easter. Rowsell is not putting the foot down in all of his races, he is waiting for something but what I am not sure. He probably needs a little more to win a big gift but has handy marks in the 70m, gift and both masters races. Which one is his shot and when for? I think he is going as well as he can now though, can he hold his peak?

What a difficult week. A fantastic surface to run on although on the soft side, the biggest question will be who turns up and who leaves after the 70m. Might be another gift for someone who just wants a win or for someone who thinks that they should just take the half metre now. The matchup between Coates and Henderson could be very interesting, based off their Ballarat runs, Coates will run about 12.72 and Henderson 12.82. Neither might show though.

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