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PROTRACK » GENERAL » Rye 400 form guide

Rye 400 form guide

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1 Rye 400 form guide on Wed Jan 11, 2012 2:27 pm

Dr Turf


The Rye Gift punches way above its weight in popularity so here is a form guide for the 400 which is always keenly contested.

400m Open - Starts 3:30
1486 Matthew HARGREAVES TARNEIT 8
Consistent type who made final at Northcote with a 48.8 heat. Tough mark on fronties track.
2341 Nathan FOX SOLDIERS HILL 15
Won Ballarat backies last year off 24 in 46.08. Back 9m makes it hard.
2698 Zoy FRANGOS BALLARAT 18
Not sighted for a while and prefer to see.
2637 Douglas GREENOUGH EAST BENTLEIGH 19
Made final at Ringwood with 46.57 heat off 19. Won Gippsland 400 in 47.55 off 25.
Racing really well and will be hard to beat in this.
6438 Josh MATHER CAROLINE SPRINGS 19
Another who made the Ringwood final with a 46.93 heat. Distance suits.
2907 Paul TANCREDI OAK PARK 20
Stawell placegetter who hasn’t shown much over the quarter this season.
7179 Cam MOSS RINGWOOD EAST 20
Won 70m novice at Northcote in only pro appearance. Unknown over the 400.
7154 Daniel WHITE-ALIKAKOS GLEN IRIS 20
3rd in Ringwood final running 46.5 in pro debut. Good form for this.
7191 Charles McDONALD PORT MELBOURNE 20
Unknown.
7177 Ryan JAMES VERMONT 20
Novice. Nothing known.
1844 Justin RINALDI RICHMOND 20
Classy type but prefer over the 2 lapper.
6190 Dominic HOSKINS ALBION 21
Enigmatic runner who ran 46.99 in his Ringwood heat. Won Maribyrnong 400 last season in 49.17 off 24. Is very fit so don’t discard.
5742 Adam COOTE ELWOOD 21
2nd to Katie Moore in Ringwood heat running 46.96. Chance if he gets the breaks from the back.
0752 Rodney MATHEWS BUNINYONG 21
Freakish veteran who ran a slashing 2nd at Maryborough in the 200. Ran 46.88 to make Bendigo final off 23. Big show.
5896 William LITTLE GLENHUNTLY 22
Won Burramine 400 in 48.59 off 25. Might find the circle track less to his liking.
6895 Evan PEARCE MULGRAVE 22
Mark too tough.
5604 Nick MAGREE MITCHAM 22
47.4 in Ringwood heat after making semis of 100. Big chance to final.
6510 Chris HARGREAVES WERRIBEE 23
Not sighted in the 400s for a while. Made semis at Bendigo with a 47.8 off 23.
1377 James CLARKE PRESTON 23
47.3 in Ringwood heat gives him a chance to final here.
2811 Cameron YORKE CROYDON NORTH 23
Would need a big improvement from Maryborough.
6729 Paddy McDONALD SANDRINGHAM 23
This looks too tough.
6271 Mohamad ZEED CHADSTONE 23
Not here.
6730 Jeremy FERNANDO ASPENDALE 23
Novice who will find this tough.
8928 Josh TIU DONCASTER 24
Doesn’t win a lot and doubt he will do so here.
1963 Shane EZARD TORQUAY 24
Veteran who would need to improve from Ringwood.
6415 Matthew WILTSHIRE ALFREDTON 24
Stawell novice 100m winner who may be better suited over the straight course.
3081 Clinton GRAY BANNOCKBURN 24
Novice who might struggle here.
3272 Jayson HAYES-HORNIBROOK BENTLEIGH EAST 24
Is still a novice after plenty of racing. Doubt he’s been waiting for this one.
6056 Dale LYONS RESEARCH 24
Too hard from mark.
6431 Ashley HUMPHREY SOUTH 24
Won the open mile here last time but the 400 is another matter.
7161 George MILLER HEIDELBERG 25
No.
3315 Adam RATCLIFFE BALLARAT NORTH 25
Won Keilor 400 in 48.69 off 30 last season. Has a good record in the quarter. Tough mark but could surprise.
1765 Matthew CALLARD HOPPERS CROSSING 25
47.5 in Bendigo semis last season. Average run at Ringwood.
3018 Robert SPENCER ESSENDON 25
Off the pace in the 400s at the moment.
6195 Nicholas CROSS CARNEGIE 25
Fair way off them at Ringwood.
5312 Matt GRANT NORTH RINGWOOD 26
Big season in 2010/2011 with a 3rd in Stawell backies in 47.31 off 29. 47.4 in Ringwood heat puts him in the mix.
6419 Daniel KHOBYAR PASCOE VALE 26
Won Maryborough 400 in blistering 47.13 off 30. Back 4m but in form.
6757 Sam VICKERY WEST BRUNSWICK 26
Needs more mark.
6295 Ryan CAMILLE WHEELERS HILL 26
Still a novice. Unlikely.
6780 Timothy ROSEN BENTLEIGH EAST 28
Novice. Passing.
6770 Justin COHEN CAULFIELD 28
Something easier.
6705 Lawrence COOP LOWER 28
Prefer in a Novice race.
7093 Peter SPENCE WANTIRNA 28
Had quickest heat up at Ringwood with 46.15 then unplaced in final. Big show.
6219 Craig ROLLINSON WARRAGUL 28
Won gift here last season but 400 form is average.
5333 Paul HUGHES WANGARATTA 28
Terrific run at Maryborough to win the 200. Speedy type who will make up his handicap quickly.
5942 Matthew SHIEL NORTH BALWYN 29
Probably didn’t do enough at Ringwood to win here.
2143 James DEANE RINGWOOD NORTH 30
VAL stalwart who has not been seen much this season. Prefer to see.
1994 Neil BRENNAN BRIGHTON 30
Might have been unlucky at Ringwood when seemed to cop a check. Big watch.
8603 Damien CASSAR ENDEAVOUR HILLS 30
No 400 form to speak of.
7079 Rhys PARKINSON MELTON SOUTH 31
Goes ok but prefer in a Novice.
6726 Clint ANDERSON MITCHAM 31
Needs more mark.
5917 Matthew McCAULEY MOOROOLBARK 31
Well beaten at Ringwood.
5757 Robert KEENAN SUNBURY 31
47.6 in Ringwood heat. Could show up.
7199 Ian SPEED 32
Prefer over longer.
6248 Daniel LAWLOR EAST MALVERN 32
2nd at Northcote in 47.87 off 32 is good form for this. Chance.
1352 Glenn STEPHENS EPSOM 32
Well credentialled veteran who might show up.
6256 Drew KOWALSKI NEWPORT 32
Novice. Not yet.
0806 Peter O'DWYER BALLARAT 33
Won Rye Gift 3 years back but prefer over something shorter(and straighter)
2228 Andrew CURRAN SCARESDALE 33
Made final at Terang but would need to improve.
3005 Paul KEATING CRAIGIEBURN 33
Will struggle.
6470 Thomas SKINNER EDEN PARK 34
Prefer in Novice event.
6009 Travis PIKE HURSTBRIDGE 34
Finally broke through with a win at Maryborough in the 120 Novice and nearly held on in the 400 novice. This might be too hard.
3329 Bradley ARMSTRONG HAMPTON 35
Won this race 4 years ago but hasn’t been seen over the quarter for a while.
7107 Wade GIROTTO PASCOE VALE 36
Unlikely.
6042 Steven MARSH WEST BRUNSWICK 36
More suited to a Novice race.
5576 Alexander BACALJA SOUTH YARRA 36
Prefer in longer races.
7906 Christopher PALERMO HAMLYN HEIGHTS 37
Not yet.
7524 Darren NAISMITH RINGWOOD NORTH 37
46.6 in Ringwood final puts him right in this if he runs.
0109 David HAIGH SANDRINGHAM 37
Consistent type who always gives an honest account.
2146 Mark HOWARD MITCHAM 38
The CEO removes the shirt and tie for another 400 run. Former Black Opal winner who will need more mark.
6059 Calvin GOOK DIGGERS REST 40
Well beaten at Ringwood.
1957 Chris ROCHE ASCOT VALE 40
Rochey backed up a 300 run at Ringwood with a 52.1 in the 400 10 mins later. In racing parlance, he had a good “blow” after that race and should be fitter for this.
3095 Shane BUCKINGHAM WESTMEADOWS 46
Last year's Stawell 70m winner who probably needs more mark in this.
6012 Amanda CROOK KENSINGTON 46
Won Stawell women’s 400 2 years ago. This looks a tough ask.
1539 Bernard BAXTER BALWYN 48
Not here.
0354 Christopher BROWN ATTWOOD 50
This guy runs in everything but probably won’t figure here.
3343 Stephanie MOLLICA ESSENDON 51
The blonde streak is absolutely flying and ran a gutsy second in the Ringwood final. This looks a great race for her from 51. My tip.
5330 Paul VINEY NORTHCOTE 54
Not going well enough.
2345 Alan DINSDALE BEAUMARIS 57
Consistent veteran who will show up for a long way.
5318 Chris LIVITSANOS INVERMAY 58
The Ballarat Bulldog will scorch out and lead his heat at the Social Club.
5425 Tom HECIMOVIC NEWPORT 59
Racing well and ran a solid race at Ringwood. The track suits and may win his heat.
1817 Colin MCCURRY SMYTHES CREEK 60
Not from 60m.
0309 John GANNON WANGARATTA 60
Limit too tight.
7202 Trent LOWRY 999

My tips:
Mollica
Spence
Greenough


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