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PROTRACK » GENERAL » Tasmanian Carnivals Mile Formguide

Tasmanian Carnivals Mile Formguide

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1 Tasmanian Carnivals Mile Formguide on Wed Dec 21, 2011 2:48 pm

DizzyRunner


ProTrack Star
ProTrack Star
The guide below relates to the Mile events offered at La Trobe, Devonport, and Burnie. Some competitors have been left out due to absence of information Feel free to add to it. My tips at the bottom.


James Kipkelwon WH Scratched

Samuel Maregwa WH Scratched

Shane Thiele WH Won the Whyalla Gift 6km King of the Mountain challenge for the 4th time this year. Has a career pb over 1500m of 3:51 but only managed a 4.09 earlier this year. A 10th place at the SAAL Flinders 2mile is not a good sign but all will depend on the mark he is given. Wait and see.

Grant Page 35 Very strong results early in 2011, a 3.42 1500m in March, and an 8.20 3km in Feb, indicate Grant’s potential. The absence of the Kenyans will make success a difficult task. A place finish.

Ryde, Michael 60 Back in strong form with a 2.29 1000m at the recent Milers club. Appears to be well over his layoff earlier this year. Is on the start list for the Bay Shef so if he avoids the drink un SA, will be in the running.

Sam Fergusson 70 By far the favourite with a handicap hard to believe. Consistent recent runs, including a 3.44 at Zatopec and 3.50 1500m, are evidence enough that he will be very hard to beat and unbackable with the bookies. Anyone who can get in his slipstream and hold on will place.

Jerome Whiteley 75 Last year’s athlete of the year may still be recovering from his handicap penalties due to last years big wins.

Justin Rinaldi 85 Had gone 16 years without a pro-win and this may well be his chance to break that record. If he sits on Fergusson, he’ll have this one in the bag. The former national 800m champion is fast approaching and so age may be the only thing working against him.

Nathan Morey 90 Ran 1.51 earlier this year and clearly has the speed. Will be interesting to watch.

Marantelli, Michael 95 Another Hipworth stable runner listed to race at Bay Shef. Had a good run in the VAL at Peninsular and his pro-record speaks for itself, 3-times Stawell winner. Will be right up there if he doesn’t save himself for the 800m.

Josh Harris 95 Suited to the longer distances, ran 8.30 for 3km and 14.44 for 5km this year. May not have the speed to keep up with others.

Kale Adams 105 Young kid Kale, 15 years old, recently ran a 8.58 for 3km, but not sure he has the Pro experience to go up against a seasoned field with many Vic runners.

Ben Covington 105 A prolific racer in 2011, has not got the form for this big race.

Alex Bacalja 110 The in-form distance runner in the VAL so far this season with 3 wins over the 2mile, mile, and 800m. It will be interesting to see if the relatively slow times run in VAL races this year indicate that he is saving something for Tassie. Another Hipworth Stable runner.

Sam Radford 115 No chance.

Alec Thomas 115 The in-form TAL distance runner with two wins and several places this season so far. Has run a 1.55 800m and a 4.02 1500m so his mark is a little generous and he is perfectly placed to stay away.

Jordan Harries 130 Another sub-9min 3km runner who may not have the speed to hold off the storming back-markers.

Damon Overton 130 No chance.

Spence, David 135 A Vic runner coming across to try his luck. A seasoned VAL pro runner whose handicap does not reflect his talent. If he can work with someone around him, expect him to be top5.

Brian Lyons 135 ???

Aaron Humphrey 140 Has run 4.06 for 1500m this year which positions him well. Another who will need to race smart to be any cance.

Brodie Overton 150 18year old kid racing in the TAL. Doesn’t have the legs this year.

Troy Atkins 165 Not unless he has been walking all season in the TAL.
Sam Morey 170 If he finds his form from earlier in 2011 will be a real chance. 1.59, 4.09, and 9.16. Could be a smokey to stay away.

Hipworth, Mark 200 One of the most experienced pro-runners in Australia. Recent winner in the VAL Warrigal 550m may indicate he is working on shorter events. Always a chance, and being out the front off 200 won’t bother him one bit.

Milly Clark 210 ???

James Plapp 235 No

Darren Brown 240 Has run several TAL races with good results.

Samantha Koch 285 Improving rapidly but still too great a challenge.

My Tips
1 Ferguson
2 Maranteli
3 Rinaldi
4 Page
5 Morey

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